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Week 4 Bowl Projections

It is time for the first bowl projections of the season! Each team has given a glimpse of how they will look this season, and with that comes creating hypothetical bowl matchups. New to this year’s bowl season are the Cactus Bowl (replacing the Rate Bowl), the Puerto Rico Bowl (replacing the Bahamas Bowl), the return of the Poinsettia Bowl (replacing the LA Bowl), and the Frisco Football Classic. Below is every matchup, including the College Football Playoff, and the teams that are projected to play in December/January.

Celebration Bowl (Dec. 12 at 12 PM EST)

South Carolina State vs Alabama State

Arizona Bowl (TBD)

Central Michigan vs UNLV

Salute to Veterans Bowl (Dec. 15 at 5:30 PM EST)

North Texas vs Georgia State

Frisco Football Classic (Dec. 15 at 9 PM EST)

Akron vs Southern Miss

Boca Raton Bowl (Dec.18 at 11 AM EST)

Marshall vs UTSA

Gasparilla Bowl (Dec. 18 at 2:30 PM EST)

Auburn vs James Madison

Myrtle Beach Bowl (Dec. 21 at 11 AM EST)

Old Dominion vs UMass

Famous Idaho Potato Bowl (Dec. 21 at 2:30 PM EST)

Toledo vs South Alabama

Puerto Rico Bowl (Dec. 22 at 1:30 PM EST)

USF vs Miami OH

Cure Bowl (Dec. 22 at 5 PM EST)

UConn vs Delaware

Independence Bowl (Dec. 22 at 8:30 PM EST)

Kansas State vs Washington

New Orleans Bowl (Dec. 23 at 2 PM EST)

Missouri State vs Louisiana

Armed Forces Bowl (Dec. 23 at 5:30 PM EST)

Arizona State vs Army

Poinsettia Bowl (Dec. 23 at 7:30 PM EST)

North Dakota State vs Boise State

Frisco Bowl (Dec. 23 at 9 PM EST)

Middle Tennessee State vs Texas State

New Mexico Bowl (Dec. 24 at 2:30 PM EST)

New Mexico vs Appalachian State

Hawaii Bowl (Dec. 24 at 7 PM EST)

Hawaii vs Colorado State

Pinstripe Bowl (Dec. 26 at 12 PM EST)

Pittsburgh vs Minnesota

Fenway Bowl (Dec. 26 at 2 PM EST)

Vanderbilt vs Memphis

Duke’s Mayo Bowl (Dec. 26 at 3:30 PM EST)

Virginia vs Michigan

68 Ventures Bowl (Dec. 26 at 5:30 PM EST)

Louisiana Tech vs Jacksonville State

Cactus Bowl (Dec. 26 at 7:30 PM EST)

Nebraska vs Iowa State

Military Bowl (Dec. 28 at 2 PM EST)

Florida State vs Tulsa

Holiday Bowl (Dec. 28 at 5 PM EST)

Duke vs UCLA

Birmingham Bowl (Dec. 29 at 2 PM EST)

Kentucky vs Troy

Pop Tarts Bowl (Dec. 29 at 5:30 PM EST)

Virginia Tech vs Houston

Alamo Bowl (Dec. 29 at 9 PM EST)

Texas Tech vs Oregon

Gator Bowl (Dec. 30 at 11:30 PM EST)

SMU vs Mississippi State

Music City Bowl (Dec. 30 at 3 PM EST)

Northwestern vs Florida

Reliaquest Bowl (Dec. 31 at 12 PM EST)

Iowa vs LSU

Sun Bowl (Dec. 31 at 2 PM EST)

Wake Forest vs Arizona

Las Vegas Bowl (Dec. 31 at 3:45 PM EST)

USC vs Missouri

Texas Bowl (Dec. 31 at 7:30 PM EST)

Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M

Citrus Bowl (Jan. 2 at 12 PM EST)

Penn State vs Tennessee

First Responder Bowl (Jan. 2 at 3:30 PM EST)

Cincinnati vs San Diego State

Liberty Bowl (Jan 2. At 7:30 PM EST)

West Virginia vs Oklahoma

CFP First Round:

8/9:

Utah vs Alabama

Photo Courtesy Utah Athletics

Many people are not as high on Utah as I am, but I see a team that has the potential to host a first round matchup. Built on an experienced defense under Morgan Scalley, the offense has impressed in the first few weeks thanks to QB Devon Dampier and WR Braden Pegan. Coming to Salt Lake City would be Alabama, who has shown flashes in their games so far but have made several early-game mistakes that would be hard to overcome against a CFP team.

5/12:

Ole Miss vs Western Michigan

Photo Courtesy Ole Miss Athletics

Just missing out on a first round bye is Ole Miss, and they would host the MAC Champions, Western Michigan. The Broncos use a run-heavy offense led by QB Broc Lowry along with a stout defense that would put up a fight against Trinidad Chambliss and Kewan Lacy. However, the Ole Miss offense is no match to what Western Michigan faced against Michigan, so I have the Rebels running away with this one.

7/10:

Ohio State vs BYU

Photo Courtesy Ohio State Athletics

Ryan Day would be back to the same point he was two years ago, when the Buckeyes hosted a first round game and decided to keep winning en route to a national championship. This would be Kalani Sitake’s first CFP game with BYU, and he would rally the team to put up a fight against Ohio State. Ultimately, it will take a missed OSU field goal for BYU to win here, and history has told us that scenarios like this are not uncommon.

6/11:

Notre Dame vs Louisville

Photo Courtesy Louisville Athletics

In this scenario, there would be nothing for Notre Dame fans to complain about regarding their placement in the playoff. The Irish have the ability to make a long run, but they could also go down in the first round depending on their matchup. Louisville, led by Lincoln Kienholz, knows how to consistently put points up on the board, and if Notre Dame cannot compete with them drive for drive on offense, this is the game where I see an upset happening.

CFP Quarterfinals:

Fiesta Bowl (Dec. 30 at 7:30 PM EST)

3 Georgia vs Louisville

Two southern teams get to travel across the country to Phoenix, and Jeff Brohm gets a nice introduction to what it is like coaching against Kirby Smart and the Bulldogs. Georgia wins this one and advances in the CFP for the first time since 2022.

Peach Bowl (Jan 1. at TBD)

2 Texas vs Ohio State

Take what Ohio State did in the first half versus Texas two weeks ago, keep it going in the second half, and Ohio State gets their revenge. Ryan Day will not make the same mistake twice with his game management, and the players will be extra motivated like they were after the Michigan loss in 2024.

Cotton Bowl (Jan. 1 at TBD)

1 Miami vs Utah

It’s hard to pick against my #1 team at this point of the season because of how electric Miami’s offense is. Fresh off a bye, they take care of business against Utah and ride into the next round of the CFP.

Rose Bowl (Jan 1. at TBD)

4 Indiana vs Ole Miss

Similar to Miami, is it possible to say Curt Cignetti is going to lose another football game? I am not betting on another magical run at this point in time, partly due to how good Ole Miss looked against Louisville and LSU. Pete Golding is writing his own story in Oxford right now following the Lane Kiffin saga and is doing a pretty good job with his team.

CFP Semifinals:

Orange Bowl (Jan 14. at 7:30 PM EST)

Miami vs Ole Miss

A rematch of last year’s Fiesta Bowl goes to Hard Rock Stadium for round 2. The two Heisman frontrunners, Darian Mensah and Trinidad Chambliss, battle for what is likely a QB1 position in the 2027 NFL draft.

Sugar Bowl (Jam 15. At 7:30 PM EST)

Ohio State vs Georgia

These two programs have not seen each other since Ohio State’s kicker, Noah Ruggles, shanked the game winning field goal in the 2022 Peach Bowl, as the first ball drop on that New Year’s Eve night. Ryan Day gets another crack at taking down Kirby Smart, the most accomplished coach right now (sorry Dabo Swinney).

Conference Winners:

ACC

Miami

American

Tulsa

Big 12

Utah

Big Ten

Indiana

CUSA

Delaware

MAC

Western Michigan

Mountain West

North Dakota State

Pac-12

Boise State

SEC

Texas

Sun Belt

James Madison


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