By Michael Gross
🔐
Vandy, Florida, Arkansas, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky
“Near Lock”
“Good Shape”
Missouri,
“Bubble”
Texas A&M, Georgia, Auburn, Texas
“Fringe Bubble”
Kentucky clinched their bid by beating South Carolina on the road. Their strong SOS numbers and wins away from home over Tennessee, Arkansas and St. John’s are enough to put them over the top even if they lose out.
“Good Shape”
Missouri is in awfully good shape to make the NCAA Tournament. They are 5-5 in Q1 and 9-9 in Q1/2 with 0 losses outside of Q1/2. Then have wins over Tennessee, Florida, Kentucky and Vanderbilt. The only pause I have is they finish with Miss St., OU on the road before hosting Arkansas. Those 2 road games are tricky even though neither are Tourney teams. Obviously beating Arkansas even at home won’t be easy. I do believe that a win in any of these final 3 regular season games will put them over the top into 🔒 status.
“Bubble”
Texas has lost 2 in a row after winning 5 in a row. Now they sit at just 16-11 in DI games. They finish with Texas A&M and Arkansas on the road before hosting Oklahoma. They need to go 2-1 to seal a bid. If they go 1-2, I think the 1 has to be Arkansas.
Georgia beat Texas in a big Bubble game before losing on the road to Vandy. Georgia has South Carolina and Bama at home plus Miss St. on the road. They need a 2-1 finish to feel good heading into the SEC Tournament. If they go 1-2 and the win is Miss St. or SC; I don’t think that gets them there.
Texas A&M managed to win on the road against Oklahoma before falling to Arkansas. They should still be on the right side of the bubble at the moment. They finish with Texas and Kentucky at home plus LSU on the road. An NCAA Tournament team should go 2-1 at minimum. Let’s see if the Aggies can do that.
Auburn had a dramatic win over Kentucky at home, but couldn’t carry the momentum into Starkville. If they win their last 3 games they are definitely in. If they go 2-1 it’s going to be a close call. 1-2 and they probably won’t make it.
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