Saturday 2.7.2026 SSM Hoops Newsletter

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Yesterday saw just the lone important at-large matchup: UConn and St. John’s. The Fighting Rick Pitino’s picked up a monumental Q1A win and became a tournament lock in the process!

Saturday promises to be packed from wall-to-wall with a ton of movement!

Yesterday saw just the lone important at-large matchup: UConn and St. John’s. Today, however, promises to be packed from wall-to-wall with a ton of movement!

12:00 PM – 2:00 PM ET Tips

  • Nebraska @ Rutgers | Noon, BTN This is a classic get-right game for the Huskers! They’re favored by 12.5 here and I expect them to roll. Projected Seed: Nebraska (2).
  • Syracuse @ Virginia | Noon, ESPN While Syracuse is competitive, they haven’t been great in ACC play, especially away from home. UVA is favored by 13.5 and would stay a 4 with a win; a loss would see them slide to a 5.
  • Arkansas @ Mississippi State | Noon, ESPN2 The Razorbacks are favored by 5.5 in Starkville, but expect a battle. Projected Seed: Arkansas (6). MSST is not a tournament team at this time.
  • Wisconsin @ Indiana | Noon, FOX Bubble action in Bloomington! Wisconsin is projecting as a 9, while IU is a 10. The winner will feel considerably better about their tournament position, while the loser starts sweating.
  • Villanova @ Georgetown | Noon, TNT/truTV A rivalry matchup with both teams trending up. Georgetown is on a winning streak, while Nova is 8-3 in Big East play. Nova is favored by 3.5. Projected Seed: Villanova (8).
  • Virginia Tech @ NC State | Noon, The CW Yet another “Extended Bubble” battle. NC State is safely an 8-seed for now, but VT is one of my “First Four Out.” A win vaults the Hokies up; a loss for the Wolfpack could drop them to the 8/9 line. NC State is favored by 9.5.
  • Oregon @ Purdue | 1:00 PM, CBS A “get-right” game for the Boilers. Purdue is favored by 20.5, which feels like a lot of points. Projected Seed: Purdue (3).
  • Missouri @ South Carolina | 1:00 PM, SECN A game Missouri cannot afford to lose if they want to make the tournament. South Carolina is solid at home. Missouri is favored by 1.5.
  • Baylor @ Iowa State | 2:00 PM, ESPN Baylor is almost completely out of tournament hope, and only a win at Hilton changes that. The Cyclones are very good and favored by 15.5. Projected Seed: Iowa State (2).
  • Kansas State @ TCU | 2:00 PM, TNT The Horned Frogs must win this. TCU is currently in that grouping just outside of the bracket; they can’t afford a loss to KSU here.
  • SMU @ Pitt | 2:00 PM, The CW SMU is favored by 4.5. A loss here and that 9-seed turns into a 10 very quickly. This is a “can’t lose” for the Mustangs. Projected Seed: SMU (9).
  • Miami @ Boston College | 2:00 PM, ACCN A major landmine game for Miami, who are currently projected as an 11-seed.
  • Ole Miss @ Texas | 2:00 PM, ESPN2 Texas is right on the bubble cut-line. They cannot take a home Q3 loss. They’re favored by 9.2 and must protect home court.

2:30 PM – 5:00 PM ET Tips

  • Utah @ Kansas | 2:30 PM, FOX Jayhawks vs. Landmine. KU is favored by 19.5 and I expect a blowout. Projected Seed: Kansas (3).
  • Oklahoma @ Vanderbilt | 3:30 PM, SECN Vanderbilt comes in as a 3/4 seed and a 13.5-point favorite. Oklahoma is solid but will struggle to keep up with the Vandy offense.
  • Alabama @ Auburn | 4:00 PM, ESPN2 Rivalry night kicks off here! Auburn is favored by 2.5 in what should be a high-scoring SEC thriller. Projected Seeds: Auburn (8), Alabama (5).
  • Oklahoma State @ Arizona | 4:00 PM, ESPN Arizona has been an absolute wagon this year. OKST needs to keep this close to avoid a massive hit to their metrics.
  • Miami (OH) @ Marshall | 4:00 PM, ESPN+ The RedHawks take their 23-0 record into Huntington, WV, for the hardest game remaining on their schedule. Can they get to 24-0?
  • Grand Canyon @ UNLV | 4:30 PM, FOX If GCU wants to stay in the at-large picture, they have to have this one. They are favored by 3.5.
  • NC Central @ Norfolk State | 4:30 PM, ESPN+ A win solidifies NCC as the top team in the MEAC. Norfolk is favored by 4.5.

6:00 PM – 8:15 PM ET Tips

  • Gonzaga @ Oregon State | 6:00 PM, ESPN+ The Zags look to rebound after an upset loss earlier this week. They’re 17.5-point favorites.
  • Seton Hall @ Creighton | 6:00 PM, Peacock Creighton is favored by 2.5. Seton Hall is currently the “Second Team Out”—this is a game the Pirates absolutely have to have.
  • Georgia @ LSU | 6:00 PM, SECN Georgia is falling quickly in the tournament picture and needs to stabilize. For LSU, this is one of the last chances to turn the season around. UGA is favored by 1.5.
  • Duke @ North Carolina | 6:30 PM, ESPN The Greatest Rivalry in Sports! Tobacco Road has the attention of the world: Boozer vs. Wilson, Scheyer vs. Davis. Duke heads into the Dean Dome as 5.5-point favorites. Projected Seeds: Duke (1), UNC (5).

Late Night Tips (8:00 PM ET & Later)

  • UC San Diego @ Hawai’i | Midnight, ESPN+ The nightcap! Hawaii needs this to keep pace in the Big West, but UCSD is a dangerous spoiler.
  • Illinois @ Michigan State | 8:00 PM, FOX Top 10 teams in the Breslin Center! This is a key matchup for Big Ten seeding down the stretch. MSU is favored by 1.5. Projected Seeds: Illinois (2), Michigan State (3).
  • Clemson @ Cal | 8:00 PM, ACCN Suddenly a massive bubble matchup. Cal is barely in the field, while Clemson is sitting as a 7. Critical for both.
  • Florida @ Texas A&M | 8:30 PM, SECN A battle for first place in the SEC! Florida is a 6.5-point favorite in Reed Arena, but A&M thrives as an underdog. Projected Seeds: Florida (3/4), Texas A&M (7/8).
  • Tennessee @ Kentucky | 8:30 PM, ESPN Rupp Arena will be rocking! The winner captures massive momentum; the loser misses a huge opportunity. UK is favored by 1.5. Projected Seeds: Kentucky (7), Tennessee (5).
  • Washington @ UCLA | 10:00 PM, FS1 UCLA is favored by 5.5 and projected as an 11-seed. Washington is roughly 10 teams out of the field and playing spoiler.
  • Boise State @ New Mexico | 10:00 PM, CBSSN One of the best environments in mid-major ball. UNM is favored by 6.5 and likely must win to stay in the field.
  • Houston @ BYU | 10:30 PM, ESPN The Flemings/Dybantsa matchup is intriguing. Houston is favored by 1.5 in the Marriott Center. Projected Seeds: Houston (2), BYU (5).
  • San Francisco @ Saint Mary’s | 11:30 PM, ESPN2 These two always play great games. The Gaels are 12.5-point favorites, which feels high for such similar opponents.

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